Head to Head · Prediction

Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza prediction

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Women's Strawweight

Loopy Godinez

Women's Strawweight #13

61%

win probability

Ketlen Souza

Women's Strawweight #26

39%

win probability

Method lean: Decision · 42% finish chance

Preview

Our ratings give Loopy Godinez the edge here — a 61% win probability, leaving Ketlen Souza at 39%.

In MMARANK's Women's Strawweight ratings Loopy Godinez sits #13 and Ketlen Souza #26.

Ketlen Souza arrives on a 2-fight winning streak; Loopy Godinez is 2-3 in the last 5.

Ketlen Souza has finished 50% of UFC wins (1 KO, 1 submission) against 22% for Loopy Godinez, and the model's method lean is a decision (42% chance it ends inside the distance).

They share 2 common opponents, among them Ariane Carnelossi, who Loopy Godinez beat and Ketlen Souza beat.

Records side by side

Loopy GodinezKetlen Souza

14-6Pro record—

9-6UFC record4-3

0 / 2 / 5Wins KO / SUB / DEC1 / 1 / 2

#13 Women's StrawweightMMARANK ranking#26 Women's Strawweight

5' 2"Height5' 3"

61"Reach63"

OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Loopy Godinez2-3 last 5

LTatiana SuarezSUB · 11 Apr 26

WJessica AndradeDecision 28-29|28-29|28-29 · 17 Aug 25

WJulia PolastriDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 29 Mar 25

LMackenzie DernDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 3 Aug 24

LVirna JandirobaDecision 29-28, 29-28, 30-27 · 30 Mar 24

Ketlen Souza3-2 last 5

WAriane CarnelossiKO · 6 Jun 26

WBruna BrasilDecision 28-29|28-29|28-29 · 8 Feb 26

LPiera Rodriguez— · 2 Aug 25

LAngela Hill— · 15 Feb 25

WYazmin JaureguiSUB · 14 Sept 24

Common opponents · 2

W (Decision 26-30, 26-30, 27-30)Ariane CarnelossiW (KO (Kick))

L (Decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28)Angela HillL

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 4

57.2 ◂MMARANK rating36.9

#248 ◂P4P rank#395

9-6 ◂UFC record4-3

1L skidCurrent form▸ 2W streak

22%Finish rate▸ 50%

4.43 ◂Strikes / min4.01

2.99 ◂Takedowns / 150.46

61"Reach▸ 63"

5'2"Height▸ 5'3"

OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who is favoured in Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza?

MMARANK's model gives Loopy Godinez a 61% win probability and Ketlen Souza 39%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza?

Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza is booked for UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on Saturday, 10 October 2026 (Women's Strawweight).

What are Loopy Godinez's and Ketlen Souza's records?

Loopy Godinez is 9-6 in the UFC (14-6 as a pro); Ketlen Souza is 4-3 in the UFC.

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