← Rankings

Simulation

Title Picture

How open is each division? We run 10,000 tournaments among the top contenders — seeded by the MMARANK rating, each fight decided by our model — and count who comes out on top. These are title odds, not a single prediction.

1
Benoît Saint Denis
rating 88 ± 3
17.7%
2
Justin Gaethje
rating 87 ± 4
17.3%
3
Arman Tsarukyan
rating 78 ± 4
16.5%
4
Manuel Torres
rating 79 ± 4
14%
5
Charles Oliveira
rating 78 ± 3
11.9%
6
Renato Moicano
rating 80 ± 3
11.5%
7
King Green
rating 79 ± 3
5.8%
8
Alexander Hernandez
rating 81 ± 3
5.4%