← Rankings

Simulation

Title Picture

How open is each division? We run 10,000 tournaments among the top contenders — seeded by the MMARANK rating, each fight decided by our model — and count who comes out on top. These are title odds, not a single prediction.

1
Ciryl Gane
rating 93.7 ± 3
19.9%
2
Alex Pereira
rating 89.6 ± 3
17.2%
3
Tom Aspinall
rating 84.5 ± 3
13.8%
4
Alexander Volkov
rating 93.5 ± 2
12.5%
5
Josh Hokit
rating 80.5 ± 4
11%
6
Sergei Pavlovich
rating 88.5 ± 3
10.5%
7
Curtis Blaydes
rating 88.2 ± 3
9.5%
8
Jailton Almeida
rating 73.4 ± 3
5.6%