← Rankings

Simulation

Title Picture

How open is each division? We run 10,000 tournaments among the top contenders — seeded by the MMARANK rating, each fight decided by our model — and count who comes out on top. These are title odds, not a single prediction.

1
Jon Jones
rating 96.8 ± 3
27.9%
2
Ciryl Gane
rating 94.4 ± 3
15.2%
3
Alex Pereira
rating 89.8 ± 3
13.7%
4
Tom Aspinall
rating 85.4 ± 3
10.5%
5
Alexander Volkov
rating 93.8 ± 2
9.4%
6
Sergei Pavlovich
rating 89 ± 3
8.6%
7
Josh Hokit
rating 81.9 ± 4
8.5%
8
Curtis Blaydes
rating 81.5 ± 3
6.2%
Title Picture — MMARANK