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Model vs UFC

Where we agree & differ

The model is independent of the UFC’s panel — so it disagrees, on purpose. Here’s how the two line up.67% of UFC-ranked fighters land within 3 spots of our rank.

The model vs the UFC — the read

MMARANK's algorithmic rankings align with the UFC's official standings on 69% of fighters, suggesting solid credibility across the board. However, the model identifies a consistent pattern of overvaluation among the UFC's mid-tier contenders: Joselyne Edwards, Serghei Spivac, and five other fighters rank notably higher in the official rankings than our data supports. These systematic gaps suggest the UFC may be weighting recent visibility or promotional factors more heavily than our model's deeper statistical analysis warrants.

Biggest disagreements

Joselyne Edwards Women's BantamweightUFC #3 · us #14
Serghei Spivac HeavyweightUFC #6 · us #15
Yair Rodriguez FeatherweightUFC #5 · us #12
Benoît Saint Denis LightweightUFC #5 · us #12
Jamahal Hill Light HeavyweightUFC #6 · us #13
Kyoji Horiguchi FlyweightUFC #5 · us #11
Aiemann Zahabi BantamweightUFC #6 · us #12
David Martinez BantamweightUFC #8 · us #14
Ian Machado Garry WelterweightUFC #1 · us #7
Jack Della Maddalena WelterweightUFC #4 · us #10

Pound-for-Pound (UFC order)

1Islam MakhachevMMARANK #2(+1)
2Alexander VolkanovskiMMARANK #4(+2)
3Petr YanMMARANK #11(+8)
4Justin GaethjeMMARANK #5(+1)
5Ilia TopuriaMMARANK #13(+8)
6Tom Aspinallunranked
7Sean StricklandMMARANK #17(+10)
8Alex PereiraMMARANK #21(+13)
9Merab DvalishviliMMARANK #7(-2)
10Joshua Vanunranked
11Khamzat ChimaevMMARANK #18(+7)
12Ciryl GaneMMARANK #6(-6)
13Alexandre Pantojaunranked
14Charles OliveiraMMARANK #12(-2)
15Arman TsarukyanMMARANK #14(-1)

By division

CJoshua VanMMARANK #1
1Alexandre PantojaMMARANK #3(+2)
2Manel KapeMMARANK #2
3Tatsuro TairaMMARANK #6(+3)
4Brandon RoyvalMMARANK #5(+1)
5Kyoji HoriguchiMMARANK #11(+6)
6Lone’er KavanaghMMARANK #10(+4)
7Amir Albaziunranked
8Asu AlmabayevMMARANK #7(-1)
9Brandon MorenoMMARANK #4(-5)
10Steve Ercegunranked