← UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Head to Head · Prediction

Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert prediction

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Light Heavyweight

Julius WalkerJulius Walker
Light Heavyweight #39
36%
win probability
vs
Gerald MeerschaertGerald Meerschaert
Middleweight #59
64%
win probability

Method lean: Submission · 79% finish chance

Preview

Our ratings give Gerald Meerschaert the edge here — a 64% win probability, leaving Julius Walker at 36%.

Gerald Meerschaert carries the higher pre-fight rating, 1584 to 1417.

Julius Walker arrives on a 2-fight losing run, while Gerald Meerschaert arrives on a 5-fight losing run.

Gerald Meerschaert has finished 100% of UFC wins (1 KO, 11 submission) against 0% for Julius Walker, and the model's method lean is a submission (79% chance it ends inside the distance).

Records side by side

Julius WalkerGerald Meerschaert
1-3UFC record12-14
0 / 0 / 1Wins KO / SUB / DEC1 / 11 / 0
#39 Light HeavyweightMMARANK ranking#59 Middleweight
6' 4"Height—
78"Reach—
OrthodoxStance—

Recent form · last 5

Julius Walker1-3 last 4
LAbdul-Rakhman YakhyaevKO · 27 Jun 26
LDustin JacobyKO · 8 Feb 26
WRafael CerqueiraDecision 30-27|30-27|30-26 · 9 Aug 25
LAlonzo Menifield— · 23 Feb 25
Gerald Meerschaert0-5 last 5
LJacob MalkounDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 2 May 26
LKyle DaukausSUB · 16 Nov 25
LMichal OleksiejczukKO · 17 Aug 25
LBrad TavaresDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 6 Apr 25
LReinier de RidderSUB · 9 Nov 24

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 3 — 4
21.8MMARANK rating▸ 28.2
#589P4P rank▸ #514
1-3UFC record▸ 12-14
2L skid ◂Current form5L skid
0%Finish rate▸ 100%
3.73 ◂Strikes / min2.95
4.09 ◂Takedowns / 151.7
78"Reach—
6'4"Height—
OrthodoxStance—

FAQ

Who is favoured in Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert?

MMARANK's model gives Gerald Meerschaert a 64% win probability and Julius Walker 36%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert?

Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert is booked for UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on Saturday, 10 October 2026 (Light Heavyweight).

What are Julius Walker's and Gerald Meerschaert's records?

Julius Walker is 1-3 in the UFC; Gerald Meerschaert is 12-14 in the UFC.

Full UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan card →·Fight simulator →