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Head to Head · Prediction

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita prediction

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Featherweight

Aaron PicoAaron Pico
Unranked
45%
win probability
vs
Losene KeitaLosene Keita
Featherweight
55%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 70% finish chance

Preview

Losene Keita goes in as the model's pick: 55% to Aaron Pico's 45%.

Aaron Pico carries the higher pre-fight rating, 1796 to 1761.

Recent form: Aaron Pico 1-1 and Losene Keita 1-1 across their last 2 UFC outings.

Losene Keita has finished 100% of UFC wins (1 KO, 0 submission) against 0% for Aaron Pico, and the model's method lean is a KO/TKO (70% chance it ends inside the distance).

Records side by side

Aaron PicoLosene Keita
1-1UFC record1-1
0 / 0 / 1Wins KO / SUB / DEC1 / 0 / 0
—MMARANK rankingFeatherweight
—Height5' 9"
—StanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Aaron Pico1-1 last 2
WPatricio PitbullDecision 27-30|27-30|28-29 · 12 Apr 26
LLerone MurphyKO · 17 Aug 25
Losene Keita1-1 last 2
WMuhammad NaimovKO · 5 Sept 26
LNathaniel Wood— · 21 Mar 26

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 0 — 1
1-1UFC record1-1
1W streakCurrent form1W streak
0%Finish rate▸ 100%
6.16Strikes / min—
6.54Takedowns / 15—
—Height5'9"
—StanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who is favoured in Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita?

MMARANK's model gives Losene Keita a 55% win probability and Aaron Pico 45%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita?

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita is booked for UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev on Saturday, 24 October 2026 (Featherweight).

What are Aaron Pico's and Losene Keita's records?

Aaron Pico is 1-1 in the UFC; Losene Keita is 1-1 in the UFC.

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