Head to Head · Prediction
Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz prediction
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Heavyweight
Method lean: KO · 57% finish chance
Preview
MMARANK's model rates Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz close to a coin flip, with Jhonata Diniz a narrow 53% to Tanner Boser's 47%.
In MMARANK's Heavyweight ratings Tanner Boser sits #45 and Jhonata Diniz #29.
Recent form: Tanner Boser 2-3 and Jhonata Diniz 3-2 across their last 5 UFC outings.
Tanner Boser has finished 60% of UFC wins (3 KO, 0 submission) against 33% for Jhonata Diniz, and the model's method lean is a KO/TKO (57% chance it ends inside the distance).
Jhonata Diniz has a 4-inch reach advantage.
Records side by side
Recent form · last 5
Common opponents · 0
No shared opponents in the data.
Tale of the tape
edges 2 — 5FAQ
Who is favoured in Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz?
MMARANK's model gives Jhonata Diniz a 53% win probability and Tanner Boser 47%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.
When is Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz?
Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz is booked for UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Saturday, 17 October 2026 (Heavyweight).
What are Tanner Boser's and Jhonata Diniz's records?
Tanner Boser is 5-6 in the UFC; Jhonata Diniz is 3-2 in the UFC.
Full UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott card →·Fight simulator →