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Marc-André Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus prediction

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Middleweight

Marc-André BarriaultMarc-André Barriault
Middleweight #69
41%
win probability
vs
Kyle DaukausKyle Daukaus
Middleweight #33
59%
win probability

Method lean: Submission · 82% finish chance

Preview

Kyle Daukaus goes in as the model's pick: 59% to Marc-André Barriault's 41%.

Marc-André Barriault is our #69 Middleweight; Kyle Daukaus is #33.

Marc-André Barriault is 1-4 over the last 5 UFC fights, Kyle Daukaus 2-3 over 5 fights.

The model projects a submission, giving a 82% chance of a finish — Kyle Daukaus stops 75% of opponents they beat, Marc-André Barriault 67%.

They share 2 common opponents, among them Eryk Anders, who Marc-André Barriault beat and Kyle Daukaus lost to.

Records side by side

Marc-André BarriaultKyle Daukaus
6-9UFC record4-5
3 / 1 / 2Wins KO / SUB / DEC1 / 2 / 1
#69 MiddleweightMMARANK ranking#33 Middleweight
6' 1"Height6' 3"
74"Reach76"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw

Recent form · last 5

Marc-André Barriault1-4 last 5
LMichal OleksiejczukDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 8 Feb 26
LShara MagomedovDecision 30-27|30-27|30-27 · 26 Jul 25
WBruno SilvaKO · 10 May 25
LDustin StoltzfusKO · 2 Nov 24
LJoe PyferKO · 29 Jun 24
Kyle Daukaus2-3 last 5
LBo NickalKO · 14 Jun 26
WGerald MeerschaertSUB · 16 Nov 25
WMichel PereiraKO · 23 Aug 25
LEryk AndersKO · 4 Dec 22
LRoman DolidzeKO · 18 Jun 22

Common opponents · 2

W (Decision 30-27, 30-27, 30-27)Eryk AndersL (KO (Punches))
L (KO (Punch))Dustin StoltzfusW (Decision)

Tale of the tape

edges 1 — 8
19.9MMARANK rating▸ 52.5
#600P4P rank▸ #281
6-9UFC record▸ 4-5
2L skidCurrent form▸ 1L skid
67%Finish rate▸ 75%
5.65 ◂Strikes / min3.04
0.34Takedowns / 15▸ 2.1
74"Reach▸ 76"
6'1"Height▸ 6'3"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw

FAQ

Who is favoured in Marc-André Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus?

MMARANK's model gives Kyle Daukaus a 59% win probability and Marc-André Barriault 41%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Marc-André Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus?

Marc-André Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus is booked for UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Saturday, 17 October 2026 (Middleweight).

What are Marc-André Barriault's and Kyle Daukaus's records?

Marc-André Barriault is 6-9 in the UFC; Kyle Daukaus is 4-5 in the UFC.

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