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Head to Head · Prediction

Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr prediction

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Lightweight

Mandel NalloMandel Nallo
Unranked
35%
win probability
vs
Nate LandwehrNate Landwehr
Featherweight #39
65%
win probability

Method lean: Submission · 60% finish chance

Preview

MMARANK's model makes Nate Landwehr the favourite, with a 65% win probability against Mandel Nallo.

Nate Landwehr carries the higher pre-fight rating, 1595 to 1347.

Nate Landwehr arrives on a 3-fight losing run; Mandel Nallo is 0-1 in the last 1.

Records side by side

Mandel NalloNate Landwehr
0-1UFC record5-6
0 / 0 / 0Wins KO / SUB / DEC1 / 2 / 1
—MMARANK ranking#39 Featherweight
—Height5' 9"
—Reach72"
—StanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Mandel Nallo0-1 last 1
LJai HerbertKO · 19 Apr 26
Nate Landwehr1-4 last 5
LCub SwansonKO · 12 Apr 26
LMorgan CharrièreKO · 13 Jul 25
LDooho ChoiKO · 7 Dec 24
WJamall EmmersKO · 30 Mar 24
LDan IgeDecision 30-27, 29-28, 29-28 · 11 Jun 23

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 1 — 1
—MMARANK rating49.3
—P4P rank#300
0-1UFC record▸ 5-6
1L skid ◂Current form3L skid
—Finish rate60%
—Strikes / min5.55
—Takedowns / 150.73
—Reach72"
—Height5'9"
—StanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who is favoured in Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr?

MMARANK's model gives Nate Landwehr a 65% win probability and Mandel Nallo 35%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr?

Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr is booked for UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Saturday, 17 October 2026 (Lightweight).

What are Mandel Nallo's and Nate Landwehr's records?

Mandel Nallo is 0-1 in the UFC; Nate Landwehr is 5-6 in the UFC.

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