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Imanol Rodríguez vs Alden Coria prediction

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Flyweight

Imanol RodríguezImanol Rodríguez
Flyweight
46%
win probability
vs
Alden CoriaAlden Coria
Flyweight #25
54%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 73% finish chance

Preview

The model has this one tight — Alden Coria at 54% win probability against Imanol Rodríguez at 46%.

Alden Coria carries the higher pre-fight rating, 1748 to 1628.

Imanol Rodríguez is 1-0 over the last 1 UFC fight, Alden Coria 3-0 over 3 fights.

The model projects a KO/TKO, giving a 73% chance of a finish — Imanol Rodríguez stops 100% of opponents they beat, Alden Coria 33%.

Alden Coria has a 3-inch reach advantage.

Records side by side

Imanol RodríguezAlden Coria
1-0UFC record3-0
1 / 0 / 0Wins KO / SUB / DEC1 / 0 / 1
FlyweightMMARANK ranking#25 Flyweight
5' 4"Height5' 8"
64.5"Reach67"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Imanol Rodríguez1-0 last 1
WKevin BorjasKO · 1 Mar 26
Alden Coria3-0 last 3
WStewart Nicoll— · 18 Jul 26
WLuis GuruleDecision 30-27|30-27|30-27 · 22 Feb 26
WAlessandro CostaKO · 13 Sept 25

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 1 — 3
—MMARANK rating31.5
—P4P rank#467
1-0UFC record3-0
1W streakCurrent form▸ 3W streak
100% ◂Finish rate33%
—Strikes / min4.69
—Takedowns / 151.75
64.5"Reach▸ 67"
5'4"Height▸ 5'8"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who is favoured in Imanol Rodríguez vs Alden Coria?

MMARANK's model gives Alden Coria a 54% win probability and Imanol Rodríguez 46%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Imanol Rodríguez vs Alden Coria?

Imanol Rodríguez vs Alden Coria is booked for UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang on Saturday, 3 October 2026 (Flyweight).

What are Imanol Rodríguez's and Alden Coria's records?

Imanol Rodríguez is 1-0 in the UFC; Alden Coria is 3-0 in the UFC.

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