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Head to Head · Result

Alexander Hernandez vs Rafael dos Anjos result

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Lightweight

Result · provisional

Alexander Hernandez def. Rafael dos Anjos

KO (punches) · R2 3:12

Model’s pre-fight pick: Rafael dos Anjos 60% — ✗ upset

Ranking impact

Alexander Hernandezrating 1769 → 1814 (+45) · now #8
Rafael dos Anjosrating 1903 → 1857 (-46) · now #24

The model’s pre-fight numbers

Alexander HernandezAlexander Hernandez
Lightweight #8
40%
win probability
vs
Rafael dos AnjosRafael dos Anjos
Lightweight #24
60%
win probability

Method lean: Submission · 54% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

MMARANK's model made Rafael dos Anjos the favourite, with a 60% win probability against Alexander Hernandez.

In MMARANK's Lightweight ratings Alexander Hernandez sits #8 and Rafael dos Anjos #24.

Rafael dos Anjos arrived on a 3-fight losing run; Alexander Hernandez is 4-1 in the last 5.

Alexander Hernandez has finished 50% of UFC wins (5 KO, 0 submission) against 43% for Rafael dos Anjos, and the model's method lean was a submission (54% chance it ends inside the distance).

They share 2 common opponents, among them Renato Moicano, who Alexander Hernandez lost to and Rafael dos Anjos beat.

Records side by side

Alexander HernandezRafael dos Anjos
10-8UFC record (going in)21-15
5 / 0 / 4Wins KO / SUB / DEC4 / 5 / 12
#8 LightweightMMARANK ranking#24 Lightweight
—Height5' 8"
—Reach70"
—StanceSouthpaw

Recent form · last 5

Alexander Hernandez4-1 last 5
LRafa GarciaDecision 29-28|29-28|30-27 · 26 Apr 26
WDiego FerreiraKO · 13 Sept 25
WChase HooperKO · 17 Aug 25
WKurt HolobaughDecision 30-27|29-28|29-28 · 16 Mar 25
WAustin Hubbard— · 5 Oct 24
Rafael dos Anjos1-4 last 5
LGeoff NealKO · 26 Oct 24
LMateusz GamrotDecision 29-28, 29-28, 30-27 · 9 Mar 24
LVicente LuqueDecision 49-46, 48-47, 48-47 · 13 Aug 23
WBryan BarberenaSUB · 4 Dec 22
LRafael FizievKO · 10 Jul 22

Common opponents · 2

L (SUB (Rear Naked Choke))Renato MoicanoW (Decision 50-44, 49-44, 49-45)
L (KO)Donald CerroneW (KO)

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 2
80 ◂MMARANK rating66.4
#67 ◂P4P rank#175
10-8UFC record▸ 21-15
1L skid ◂Current form3L skid
50% ◂Finish rate43%
4.23 ◂Strikes / min3.48
1.05Takedowns / 15▸ 1.95
—Reach70"
—Height5'8"
—StanceSouthpaw

FAQ

Who won Alexander Hernandez vs Rafael dos Anjos?

Alexander Hernandez beat Rafael dos Anjos by KO (punches) at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang on Saturday, 3 October 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

No — before the fight the model gave Rafael dos Anjos a 60% win probability against Alexander Hernandez.

What are Alexander Hernandez's and Rafael dos Anjos's records?

Alexander Hernandez went in 10-8 in the UFC; Rafael dos Anjos went in 21-15 in the UFC.

Full UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang card →·Fight simulator →