Head to Head · Result
Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura result
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · Saturday, 26 September 2026 · Bantamweight
Result · provisional
Brady Hiestand def. Rinya Nakamura
SUB (rear-naked choke) · R2 4:07
Model’s pre-fight pick: Rinya Nakamura 53% — ✗ upset
Ranking impact
The model’s pre-fight numbers
Method lean: KO · 58% finish chance
Pre-fight preview
MMARANK's model rates Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura close to a coin flip, with Rinya Nakamura a narrow 53% to Brady Hiestand's 47%.
Brady Hiestand is our #27 Bantamweight; Rinya Nakamura is #59.
Brady Hiestand is 3-1 over the last 4 UFC fights, Rinya Nakamura 4-1 over 5 fights.
The model projected a KO/TKO, giving a 58% chance of a finish — Brady Hiestand stops 67% of opponents they beat, Rinya Nakamura 50%.
They share 1 common opponent: Fernie Garcia, who Brady Hiestand beat and Rinya Nakamura beat.
Records side by side
Recent form · last 5
Common opponents · 1
Tale of the tape
edges 7 — 2FAQ
Who won Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura?
Brady Hiestand beat Rinya Nakamura by submission (rear-naked choke) at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos on Saturday, 26 September 2026.
Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?
No — before the fight the model gave Rinya Nakamura a 53% win probability against Brady Hiestand.
What are Brady Hiestand's and Rinya Nakamura's records?
Brady Hiestand went in 3-1 in the UFC; Rinya Nakamura went in 4-1 in the UFC.
Full UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos card →·Fight simulator →