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Head to Head · Result

Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki result

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Delgado · Saturday, 12 September 2026 · Featherweight

Result · provisional

Tommy McMillen def. Marwan Rahiki

Decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-27

Model’s pre-fight pick: Tommy McMillen 52% — ✓ correct

Ranking impact

Tommy McMillenrating 1748 → 1844 (+96) · now #28
Marwan Rahikirating 1716 → 1615 (-101) · now #46

The model’s pre-fight numbers

Tommy McMillenTommy McMillen
Featherweight #28
52%
win probability
vs
Marwan RahikiMarwan Rahiki
Featherweight #46
48%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 95% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

MMARANK's model rates Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki close to a coin flip, with Tommy McMillen a narrow 52% to Marwan Rahiki's 48%.

Tommy McMillen is our #28 Featherweight; Marwan Rahiki is #46.

Tommy McMillen is 2-0 over the last 2 UFC fights, Marwan Rahiki 2-0 over 2 fights.

The model projected a KO/TKO, giving a 95% chance of a finish — Marwan Rahiki stops 100% of opponents they beat, Tommy McMillen 50%.

Records side by side

Tommy McMillenMarwan Rahiki
2-0UFC record (going in)2-0
1 / 0 / 0Wins KO / SUB / DEC2 / 0 / 0
#28 FeatherweightMMARANK ranking#46 Featherweight

Recent form · last 5

Tommy McMillen2-0 last 2
WAlberto Montes— · 19 Jul 26
WManolo ZecchiniKO · 5 Apr 26
Marwan Rahiki2-0 last 2
WOllie SchmidKO · 2 May 26
WHarry HardwickKO · 15 Mar 26

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 2 — 1
59.1 ◂MMARANK rating37.1
#230 ◂P4P rank#394
2-0UFC record2-0
2W streakCurrent form2W streak
50%Finish rate▸ 100%
—Strikes / min8.76
—Takedowns / 150

FAQ

Who won Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki?

Tommy McMillen beat Marwan Rahiki by decision at UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Delgado on Saturday, 12 September 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

Yes — before the fight the model gave Tommy McMillen a 52% win probability against Marwan Rahiki.

What are Tommy McMillen's and Marwan Rahiki's records?

Tommy McMillen went in 2-0 in the UFC; Marwan Rahiki went in 2-0 in the UFC.

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