Head to Head · Prediction
Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Women's Strawweight
Method lean: Decision · 24% finish chance
Preview
Our ratings give Talita Alencar the edge here — a 57% win probability, leaving Piera Rodriguez at 43%.
Talita Alencar is our #17 Women's Strawweight; Piera Rodriguez is #20.
Talita Alencar is 4-1 over the last 5 UFC fights, Piera Rodriguez 3-2 over 5 fights.
The model projects a decision, giving a 24% chance of a finish — Talita Alencar stops 25% of opponents they beat, Piera Rodriguez 0%.
They share 1 common opponent: Ariane Carnelossi, who Talita Alencar beat and Piera Rodriguez lost to.
Records side by side
Recent form · last 5
Common opponents · 1
Tale of the tape
edges 4 — 2FAQ
Who is favoured in Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez?
MMARANK's model gives Talita Alencar a 57% win probability and Piera Rodriguez 43%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.
When is Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez?
Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez is booked for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on Saturday, 31 October 2026 (Women's Strawweight).
What are Talita Alencar's and Piera Rodriguez's records?
Talita Alencar is 4-1 in the UFC (8-1-1 as a pro); Piera Rodriguez is 5-2 in the UFC.
Full UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan card →·Fight simulator →