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Head to Head · Result

Su Mudaerji vs Alex Perez result

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · Saturday, 29 August 2026 · Flyweight

Result · provisional

Su Mudaerji def. Alex Perez

Decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28

Model’s pre-fight pick: Alex Perez 58% — ✗ upset

Ranking impact

Su Mudaerjirating 1627 → 1687 (+60) · now #20
Alex Perezrating 1753 → 1705 (-48) · now #12

The model’s pre-fight numbers

Su MudaerjiSu Mudaerji
Flyweight #20
42%
win probability
vs
Alex PerezAlex Perez
Flyweight #12
58%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 62% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

MMARANK's model made Alex Perez the favourite, with a 58% win probability against Su Mudaerji.

Su Mudaerji is our #20 Flyweight; Alex Perez is #12.

Su Mudaerji is 3-1-1 over the last 5 UFC fights, Alex Perez 2-2-1 over 5 fights.

The model projected a KO/TKO, giving a 62% chance of a finish — Alex Perez stops 75% of opponents they beat, Su Mudaerji 17%.

They share 1 common opponent: Charles Johnson, who Su Mudaerji lost to and Alex Perez beat.

Records side by side

Su MudaerjiAlex Perez
6-3-1UFC record (going in)8-6-1
1 / 0 / 4Wins KO / SUB / DEC4 / 2 / 2
#20 FlyweightMMARANK ranking#12 Flyweight
5' 8"Height5' 6"
72"Reach65.5"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Su Mudaerji3-1-1 last 5
DAlex Perez— · 30 May 26
WJesus AguilarDecision 30-27|30-27|30-27 · 7 Mar 26
WKevin BorjasDecision 30-27|30-27|30-27 · 23 Aug 25
WMitch Raposo— · 12 Apr 25
LCharles JohnsonDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 19 Oct 24
Alex Perez2-2-1 last 5
DSumudaerji— · 30 May 26
WCharles JohnsonKO · 25 Jan 26
LAsu AlmabayevSUB · 22 Nov 25
LTatsuro TairaKO · 15 Jun 24
WMatheus NicolauKO · 27 Apr 24

Common opponents · 1

L (Decision 29-28|29-28|29-28)Charles JohnsonW (KO (Punch))

Previous meeting: Draw, 30 May 26

Tale of the tape

edges 4 — 4
39MMARANK rating▸ 55
#383P4P rank▸ #259
6-3 ◂UFC record8-6
17%Finish rate▸ 75%
4.43 ◂Strikes / min4.4
0.67Takedowns / 15▸ 2.27
72" ◂Reach65.5"
5'8" ◂Height5'6"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who won Su Mudaerji vs Alex Perez?

Su Mudaerji beat Alex Perez by decision at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song on Saturday, 29 August 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

No — before the fight the model gave Alex Perez a 58% win probability against Su Mudaerji.

What are Su Mudaerji's and Alex Perez's records?

Su Mudaerji went in 6-3-1 in the UFC; Alex Perez went in 8-6-1 in the UFC.

Full UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song card →·Fight simulator →