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Head to Head · Result

Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat result

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld · Saturday, 8 August 2026 · Heavyweight

Result · provisional

Steven Asplund def. Guilherme Pat

Decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28

Model’s pre-fight pick: Steven Asplund 59% — ✓ correct

Ranking impact

Steven Asplundrating 1507 → 1602 (+95) · now #34
Guilherme Patrating 1479 → 1384 (-95) · now #37

The model’s pre-fight numbers

Steven AsplundSteven Asplund
Heavyweight #34
59%
win probability
vs
Guilherme PatGuilherme Pat
Heavyweight #37
41%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 59% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

MMARANK's model made Steven Asplund the favourite, with a 59% win probability against Guilherme Pat.

Steven Asplund is our #34 Heavyweight; Guilherme Pat is #37.

Steven Asplund is 1-1 over the last 2 UFC fights, Guilherme Pat 1-1 over 2 fights.

The model projected a KO/TKO, giving a 59% chance of a finish — Steven Asplund stops 100% of opponents they beat, Guilherme Pat 0%.

Records side by side

Steven AsplundGuilherme Pat
1-1UFC record (going in)1-1
1 / 0 / 0Wins KO / SUB / DEC0 / 0 / 1
#34 HeavyweightMMARANK ranking#37 Heavyweight
6' 5"Height—
78"Reach—
OrthodoxStance—

Recent form · last 5

Steven Asplund1-1 last 2
LVitor PetrinoDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 15 Mar 26
WSean SharafKO · 14 Dec 25
Guilherme Pat1-1 last 2
LThomas Petersen— · 4 Apr 26
WAllen Frye Jr.Decision 27-30|27-30|27-30 · 14 Dec 25

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 4 — 0
35.7 ◂MMARANK rating32.4
#409 ◂P4P rank#453
1-1UFC record1-1
1L skidCurrent form1L skid
100% ◂Finish rate0%
9.7 ◂Strikes / min2.7
0Takedowns / 150
78"Reach—
6'5"Height—
OrthodoxStance—

FAQ

Who won Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat?

Steven Asplund beat Guilherme Pat by decision at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld on Saturday, 8 August 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

Yes — before the fight the model gave Steven Asplund a 59% win probability against Guilherme Pat.

What are Steven Asplund's and Guilherme Pat's records?

Steven Asplund went in 1-1 in the UFC; Guilherme Pat went in 1-1 in the UFC.

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