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Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke prediction

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · Saturday, 14 November 2026 · Welterweight

Stephen ThompsonStephen Thompson
Welterweight #35
64%
win probability
vs
Charles RadtkeCharles Radtke
Welterweight #59
36%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 64% finish chance

Preview

Stephen Thompson goes in as the model's pick: 64% to Charles Radtke's 36%.

In MMARANK's Welterweight ratings Stephen Thompson sits #35 and Charles Radtke #59.

Stephen Thompson arrives on a 3-fight losing run, while Charles Radtke arrives on a 2-fight winning streak.

Charles Radtke has finished 60% of UFC wins (2 KO, 1 submission) against 50% for Stephen Thompson, and the model's method lean is a KO/TKO (64% chance it ends inside the distance).

Stephen Thompson has a 3-inch reach advantage.

Records side by side

Stephen ThompsonCharles Radtke
12-9UFC record5-2
6 / 0 / 6Wins KO / SUB / DEC2 / 1 / 2
#35 WelterweightMMARANK ranking#59 Welterweight
6' 0"Height5' 9"
75"Reach72"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Stephen Thompson1-4 last 5
LGabriel Bonfim— · 13 Jul 25
LJoaquin BuckleyKO · 5 Oct 24
LShavkat RakhmonovSUB · 17 Dec 23
WKevin HollandKO · 4 Dec 22
LBelal MuhammadDecision · 18 Dec 21
Charles Radtke3-2 last 5
WFrancisco PradoDecision 30-26|30-26|30-26 · 11 Apr 26
WDaniel FrunzaSUB · 1 Nov 25
LMike MalottKO · 11 May 25
WMatthew SemelsbergerKO · 9 Nov 24
LCarlos PratesKO · 8 Jun 24

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 4
64.8 ◂MMARANK rating32
#186 ◂P4P rank#458
12-9UFC record▸ 5-2
3L skidCurrent form▸ 2W streak
50%Finish rate▸ 60%
4.39 ◂Strikes / min2.5
0.25Takedowns / 15▸ 1.99
75" ◂Reach72"
6'0" ◂Height5'9"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who is favoured in Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke?

MMARANK's model gives Stephen Thompson a 64% win probability and Charles Radtke 36%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke?

Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke is booked for UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit on Saturday, 14 November 2026 (Welterweight).

What are Stephen Thompson's and Charles Radtke's records?

Stephen Thompson is 12-9 in the UFC; Charles Radtke is 5-2 in the UFC.

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