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Head to Head · Result

Rong Zhu vs Rafa García result

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Delgado · Saturday, 12 September 2026 · Lightweight

Result · provisional

Rong Zhu def. Rafa García

Decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28

Model’s pre-fight pick: Rafa García 69% — ✗ upset

Ranking impact

Rong Zhurating 1504 → 1650 (+146) · now #44
Rafa Garcíarating 1849 → 1772 (-77) · now #24

The model’s pre-fight numbers

Rong ZhuRong Zhu
Lightweight #44
31%
win probability
vs
Rafa GarcíaRafa García
Lightweight #24
69%
win probability

Method lean: Decision · 33% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

Our ratings gave Rafa García the edge here — a 69% win probability, leaving Rong Zhu at 31%.

In MMARANK's Lightweight ratings Rong Zhu sits #44 and Rafa García #24.

Rong Zhu arrived on a 2-fight winning streak, while Rafa García arrived on a 3-fight winning streak.

Rong Zhu has finished 33% of UFC wins (1 KO, 0 submission) against 29% for Rafa García, and the model's method lean was a decision (33% chance it ends inside the distance).

Records side by side

Rong ZhuRafa García
3-3UFC record (going in)7-4
1 / 0 / 2Wins KO / SUB / DEC1 / 1 / 5
#44 LightweightMMARANK ranking#24 Lightweight
5' 9"Height—
71"Reach—
OrthodoxStance—

Recent form · last 5

Rong Zhu3-2 last 5
WAustin HubbardDecision 30-27|29-28|29-28 · 22 Aug 25
WKody SteeleDecision 30-27|30-27|30-27 · 9 Feb 25
LChris Padilla— · 7 Sept 24
LIgnacio BahamondesSUB · 26 Feb 22
WBrandon JenkinsKO · 18 Sept 21
Rafa García4-1 last 5
WAlexander HernandezDecision 29-28|29-28|30-27 · 26 Apr 26
WJared GordonKO · 13 Sept 25
WVinc PichelDecision 30-27|30-27|29-28 · 29 Mar 25
LGrant DawsonKO · 12 Oct 24
WClay GuidaDecision 27-30, 27-30, 27-30 · 16 Apr 23

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 2 — 5
47.9MMARANK rating▸ 64.8
#310P4P rank▸ #185
3-3UFC record▸ 7-4
2W streakCurrent form▸ 3W streak
33% ◂Finish rate29%
5.6 ◂Strikes / min4.28
1.86Takedowns / 15▸ 3.22
71"Reach—
5'9"Height—
OrthodoxStance—

FAQ

Who won Rong Zhu vs Rafa García?

Rong Zhu beat Rafa García by decision at UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Delgado on Saturday, 12 September 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

No — before the fight the model gave Rafa García a 69% win probability against Rong Zhu.

What are Rong Zhu's and Rafa García's records?

Rong Zhu went in 3-3 in the UFC; Rafa García went in 7-4 in the UFC.

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