Head to Head · Prediction
Randy Brown vs Carlos Leal prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Welterweight
Method lean: KO · 62% finish chance
Preview
Randy Brown goes in as the model's pick: 57% to Carlos Leal's 43%.
In MMARANK's Welterweight ratings Randy Brown sits #20 and Carlos Leal #46.
Randy Brown arrives on a 2-fight losing run; Carlos Leal is 2-2 in the last 4.
Randy Brown has finished 50% of UFC wins (4 KO, 3 submission) against 50% for Carlos Leal, and the model's method lean is a KO/TKO (62% chance it ends inside the distance).
They share 1 common opponent: Muslim Salikhov, who Randy Brown beat and Carlos Leal lost to.
Records side by side
Recent form · last 5
Common opponents · 1
Tale of the tape
edges 6 — 2FAQ
Who is favoured in Randy Brown vs Carlos Leal?
MMARANK's model gives Randy Brown a 57% win probability and Carlos Leal 43%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.
When is Randy Brown vs Carlos Leal?
Randy Brown vs Carlos Leal is booked for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on Saturday, 31 October 2026 (Welterweight).
What are Randy Brown's and Carlos Leal's records?
Randy Brown is 14-8 in the UFC; Carlos Leal is 2-2 in the UFC.
Full UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan card →·Fight simulator →