Head to Head · Prediction
Rafael dos Anjos vs Alexander Hernandez prediction
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Lightweight
Method lean: Submission · 54% finish chance
Preview
Our ratings give Rafael dos Anjos the edge here — a 60% win probability, leaving Alexander Hernandez at 40%.
Rafael dos Anjos carries the higher pre-fight rating, 1903 to 1769.
Rafael dos Anjos arrives on a 3-fight losing run; Alexander Hernandez is 4-1 in the last 5.
Alexander Hernandez has finished 50% of UFC wins (5 KO, 0 submission) against 43% for Rafael dos Anjos, and the model's method lean is a submission (54% chance it ends inside the distance).
They share 2 common opponents, among them Renato Moicano, who Rafael dos Anjos beat and Alexander Hernandez lost to.
Records side by side
Recent form · last 5
Common opponents · 2
Tale of the tape
edges 2 — 5FAQ
Who is favoured in Rafael dos Anjos vs Alexander Hernandez?
MMARANK's model gives Rafael dos Anjos a 60% win probability and Alexander Hernandez 40%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.
When is Rafael dos Anjos vs Alexander Hernandez?
Rafael dos Anjos vs Alexander Hernandez is booked for UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang on Saturday, 3 October 2026 (Lightweight).
What are Rafael dos Anjos's and Alexander Hernandez's records?
Rafael dos Anjos is 21-15 in the UFC; Alexander Hernandez is 10-8 in the UFC (18-9 as a pro).