Head to Head · Prediction
Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler prediction
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Women's Bantamweight
Method lean: KO · 58% finish chance
Preview
Our ratings give Melissa Croden the edge here — a 65% win probability, leaving Chelsea Chandler at 35%.
Melissa Croden is our #9 Women's Bantamweight; Chelsea Chandler is #20.
Melissa Croden is 2-1 over the last 3 UFC fights, Chelsea Chandler 2-3 over 5 fights.
The model projects a KO/TKO, giving a 58% chance of a finish — Chelsea Chandler stops 67% of opponents they beat, Melissa Croden 50%.
Records side by side
Recent form · last 5
Common opponents · 0
No shared opponents in the data.
Tale of the tape
edges 5 — 1FAQ
Who is favoured in Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler?
MMARANK's model gives Melissa Croden a 65% win probability and Chelsea Chandler 35%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.
When is Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler?
Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler is booked for UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Saturday, 17 October 2026 (Women's Bantamweight).
What are Melissa Croden's and Chelsea Chandler's records?
Melissa Croden is 2-1 in the UFC (11-2 as a pro); Chelsea Chandler is 3-3 in the UFC.
Full UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott card →·Fight simulator →