Head to Head · Prediction
Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert prediction
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Lightweight
Method lean: KO · 63% finish chance
Preview
MMARANK's model rates Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert close to a coin flip, with Matheus Camilo a narrow 52% to Jai Herbert's 48%.
In MMARANK's Lightweight ratings Matheus Camilo sits #34 and Jai Herbert #82.
Matheus Camilo arrives on a 2-fight winning streak; Jai Herbert is 2-2 in the last 5.
Matheus Camilo has finished 50% of UFC wins (1 KO, 0 submission) against 50% for Jai Herbert, and the model's method lean is a KO/TKO (63% chance it ends inside the distance).
Jai Herbert has a 8-inch reach advantage.
Records side by side
Recent form · last 5
Common opponents · 0
No shared opponents in the data.
Tale of the tape
edges 5 — 3FAQ
Who is favoured in Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert?
MMARANK's model gives Matheus Camilo a 52% win probability and Jai Herbert 48%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.
When is Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert?
Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert is booked for UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on Saturday, 10 October 2026 (Lightweight).
What are Matheus Camilo's and Jai Herbert's records?
Matheus Camilo is 2-1 in the UFC; Jai Herbert is 4-5-1 in the UFC.
Full UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan card →·Fight simulator →