← UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang

Head to Head · Prediction

Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev prediction

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Middleweight

Marvin VettoriMarvin Vettori
Middleweight #25
52%
win probability
vs
Ismail NaurdievIsmail Naurdiev
Middleweight #27
48%
win probability

Method lean: Decision · 24% finish chance

Preview

The model has this one tight — Marvin Vettori at 52% win probability against Ismail Naurdiev at 48%.

Marvin Vettori is our #25 Middleweight; Ismail Naurdiev is #27.

Marvin Vettori is 1-4 over the last 5 UFC fights, Ismail Naurdiev 3-2 over 5 fights.

The model projects a decision, giving a 24% chance of a finish — Ismail Naurdiev stops 25% of opponents they beat, Marvin Vettori 22%.

Records side by side

Marvin VettoriIsmail Naurdiev
9-8UFC record4-3
0 / 2 / 7Wins KO / SUB / DEC1 / 0 / 3
#25 MiddleweightMMARANK ranking#27 Middleweight
6' 0"Height5' 10"
74"Reach74"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Marvin Vettori1-4 last 5
LBrunno FerreiraDecision 28-29|28-29|28-29 · 7 Dec 25
LBrendan AllenDecision 27-30|27-30|28-29 · 20 Jul 25
LRoman DolidzeDecision 46-49|46-49|46-49 · 16 Mar 25
LJared CannonierDecision 45-49, 45-49, 46-48 · 18 Jun 23
WRoman DolidzeDecision 29-28, 29-28, 30-27 · 18 Mar 23
Ismail Naurdiev3-2 last 5
WRyan LoderKO · 22 Nov 25
LJunYong ParkDecision 26-29|26-29|25-29 · 21 Jun 25
WBruno SilvaDecision 30-27|30-27|30-27 · 26 Oct 24
LSean BradyDecision · 29 Feb 20
WSiyar BahadurzadaDecision · 28 Sept 19

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 3
59.9 ◂MMARANK rating58.4
#225 ◂P4P rank#237
9-8UFC record▸ 4-3
4L skidCurrent form▸ 1W streak
22%Finish rate▸ 25%
5.66 ◂Strikes / min3.66
1.68 ◂Takedowns / 151.48
74"Reach74"
6'0" ◂Height5'10"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who is favoured in Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev?

MMARANK's model gives Marvin Vettori a 52% win probability and Ismail Naurdiev 48%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev?

Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev is booked for UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang on Saturday, 3 October 2026 (Middleweight).

What are Marvin Vettori's and Ismail Naurdiev's records?

Marvin Vettori is 9-8 in the UFC; Ismail Naurdiev is 4-3 in the UFC.

Full UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang card →·Fight simulator →