← UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Head to Head · Result

MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones result

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, 22 August 2026 · Lightweight

Result · provisional

MarQuel Mederos def. Mason Jones

KO (elbows and punches) · R2 2:07

Model’s pre-fight pick: MarQuel Mederos 52% — ✓ correct

Ranking impact

MarQuel Mederosrating 1794 → 1859 (+65) · now #53
Mason Jonesrating 1724 → 1672 (-52) · now #51

The model’s pre-fight numbers

MarQuel MederosMarQuel Mederos
Lightweight #53
52%
win probability
vs
Mason JonesMason Jones
Lightweight #51
48%
win probability

Method lean: Decision · 12% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

There is little to separate them on our numbers: MarQuel Mederos 52%, Mason Jones 48%.

MarQuel Mederos is our #53 Lightweight; Mason Jones is #51.

MarQuel Mederos is 3-0-1 over the last 4 UFC fights, Mason Jones 4-1 over 5 fights.

The model projected a decision, giving a 12% chance of a finish — Mason Jones stops 25% of opponents they beat, MarQuel Mederos 0%.

Mason Jones had a 5-inch reach advantage.

Records side by side

MarQuel MederosMason Jones
3-0-1UFC record (going in)4-2
0 / 0 / 2Wins KO / SUB / DEC1 / 0 / 3
#53 LightweightMMARANK ranking#51 Lightweight
5' 10"Height5' 10"
69"Reach74"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

MarQuel Mederos3-0-1 last 4
DChris Padilla— · 11 Apr 26
WMark ChoinskiDecision 30-27|30-27|29-28 · 7 Jun 25
WAustin Hubbard— · 29 Mar 25
WLandon QuiñonesDecision 28-29, 28-29, 28-29 · 3 Feb 24
Mason Jones4-1 last 5
WAxel SolaDecision 30-27|29-28|29-28 · 21 Mar 26
WBolaji OkiKO · 6 Sept 25
WJeremy StephensDecision 27-30|27-30|27-30 · 4 May 25
LLudovit KleinDecision 27-30, 27-30, 27-30 · 23 Jul 22
WDavid OnamaDecision · 23 Oct 21

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 1 — 6
43.5MMARANK rating▸ 45.3
#347P4P rank▸ #332
3-0 ◂UFC record4-2
—Current form3W streak
0%Finish rate▸ 25%
5.43Strikes / min▸ 5.98
0.25Takedowns / 15▸ 3.48
69"Reach▸ 74"
5'10"Height5'10"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who won MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones?

MarQuel Mederos beat Mason Jones by KO (elbows and punches) at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues on Saturday, 22 August 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

Yes — before the fight the model gave MarQuel Mederos a 52% win probability against Mason Jones.

What are MarQuel Mederos's and Mason Jones's records?

MarQuel Mederos went in 3-0-1 in the UFC; Mason Jones went in 4-2 in the UFC.

Full UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues card →·Fight simulator →