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Head to Head · Prediction

King Green vs Esteban Ribovics prediction

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Lightweight

King GreenKing Green
Lightweight #8
55%
win probability
vs
Esteban RibovicsEsteban Ribovics
Lightweight #25
45%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 57% finish chance

Preview

King Green goes in as the model's pick: 55% to Esteban Ribovics's 45%.

King Green is our #8 Lightweight; Esteban Ribovics is #25.

King Green is 4-1 over the last 5 UFC fights, Esteban Ribovics 3-2 over 5 fights.

The model projects a KO/TKO, giving a 57% chance of a finish — King Green stops 47% of opponents they beat, Esteban Ribovics 40%.

They share 4 common opponents, among them Edson Barboza, who King Green lost to and Esteban Ribovics beat.

Records side by side

King GreenEsteban Ribovics
36-17-1Pro record—
17-12-1UFC record5-3
5 / 3 / 8Wins KO / SUB / DEC2 / 0 / 2
#8 LightweightMMARANK ranking#25 Lightweight
—Height5' 10"
—Reach69"
—StanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

King Green4-1 last 5
WTerrance McKinneyKO · 12 Jul 26
WJeremy StephensSUB · 10 May 26
WDaniel ZellhuberKO · 1 Mar 26
WLance Gibson Jr.— · 14 Dec 25
LMauricio RuffyKO · 9 Mar 25
Esteban Ribovics3-2 last 5
WEdson BarbozaKO · 15 Aug 26
LMateusz GamrotSUB · 11 Apr 26
WElves BrenerDecision 28-29|27-30|27-30 · 3 Aug 25
LNasrat Haqparast— · 2 Mar 25
WDaniel Zellhuber— · 14 Sept 24

Common opponents · 4

L (Decision)Edson BarbozaW (KO (punches))
W (Decision 30-27, 30-27, 30-27)Nasrat HaqparastL
W (KO (Punches))Daniel ZellhuberW
W (KO (Punch))Terrance McKinneyW (KO (Kick))

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 2
79.8 ◂MMARANK rating64.7
#68 ◂P4P rank#186
17-12UFC record▸ 5-3
4W streak ◂Current form1W streak
47% ◂Finish rate40%
6.88Strikes / min▸ 7.24
1.34 ◂Takedowns / 150.35
—Reach69"
—Height5'10"
—StanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who is favoured in King Green vs Esteban Ribovics?

MMARANK's model gives King Green a 55% win probability and Esteban Ribovics 45%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is King Green vs Esteban Ribovics?

King Green vs Esteban Ribovics is booked for UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang on Saturday, 3 October 2026 (Lightweight).

What are King Green's and Esteban Ribovics's records?

King Green is 17-12-1 in the UFC (36-17-1 as a pro); Esteban Ribovics is 5-3 in the UFC.

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