← UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady

Head to Head · Prediction

Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid prediction

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Featherweight

Keiichiro NakamuraKeiichiro Nakamura
Featherweight
68%
win probability
vs
Ollie SchmidOllie Schmid
Unranked
32%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 83% finish chance

Preview

Keiichiro Nakamura goes in as the model's pick: 68% to Ollie Schmid's 32%.

Keiichiro Nakamura carries the higher pre-fight rating, 1662 to 1372.

Recent form: Keiichiro Nakamura 1-0 and Ollie Schmid 0-1 across their last 1 UFC outings.

Records side by side

Keiichiro NakamuraOllie Schmid
1-0UFC record0-1
1 / 0 / 0Wins KO / SUB / DEC0 / 0 / 0
FeatherweightMMARANK ranking—
5' 10"Height—
70"Reach—
SouthpawStance—

Recent form · last 5

Keiichiro Nakamura1-0 last 1
WSebastian SzalayKO · 31 Jan 26
Ollie Schmid0-1 last 1
LMarwan RahikiKO · 2 May 26

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 2 — 0
1-0 ◂UFC record0-1
1W streak ◂Current form1L skid
100%Finish rate—
70"Reach—
5'10"Height—
SouthpawStance—

FAQ

Who is favoured in Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid?

MMARANK's model gives Keiichiro Nakamura a 68% win probability and Ollie Schmid 32%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid?

Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid is booked for UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady on Saturday, 7 November 2026 (Featherweight).

What are Keiichiro Nakamura's and Ollie Schmid's records?

Keiichiro Nakamura is 1-0 in the UFC; Ollie Schmid is 0-1 in the UFC.

Full UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady card →·Fight simulator →