Head to Head · Prediction

Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes prediction

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Women's Flyweight

Karine Silva

Women's Flyweight #10

65%

win probability

Gabriella Fernandes

Women's Flyweight #24

35%

win probability

Method lean: Submission · 59% finish chance

Preview

MMARANK's model makes Karine Silva the favourite, with a 65% win probability against Gabriella Fernandes.

In MMARANK's Women's Flyweight ratings Karine Silva sits #10 and Gabriella Fernandes #24.

Karine Silva arrives on a 2-fight losing run; Gabriella Fernandes is 3-2 in the last 5.

Karine Silva has finished 60% of UFC wins (0 KO, 3 submission) against 33% for Gabriella Fernandes, and the model's method lean is a submission (59% chance it ends inside the distance).

They share 1 common opponent: Jasmine Jasudavicius, who Karine Silva lost to and Gabriella Fernandes lost to.

Records side by side

Karine SilvaGabriella Fernandes

19-7Pro record—

5-3UFC record3-3

0 / 3 / 2Wins KO / SUB / DEC0 / 1 / 1

#10 Women's FlyweightMMARANK ranking#24 Women's Flyweight

—Height5' 6"

—Reach66"

—StanceSouthpaw

Recent form · last 5

Karine Silva2-3 last 5

LJasmine JasudaviciusDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 19 Apr 26

LMaycee BarberDecision 30-27|29-28|29-28 · 7 Dec 25

WDione BarbosaDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 16 Aug 25

LViviane AraujoDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 16 Nov 24

WAriane da SilvaDecision 27-30, 28-29, 28-29 · 27 Apr 24

Gabriella Fernandes3-2 last 5

LCasey O'NeillKO · 28 Mar 26

WJulija StoliarenkoDecision 30-27|29-28|29-28 · 9 Aug 25

WWang CongSUB · 23 Nov 24

WCarli Judice— · 15 Jun 24

LTereza BledaDecision 30-27, 30-27, 30-27 · 18 Jun 23

Common opponents · 1

L (Decision 29-28|29-28|29-28)Jasmine JasudaviciusL (Decision 30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 2

53.4 ◂MMARANK rating30.3

#274 ◂P4P rank#485

5-3 ◂UFC record3-3

2L skidCurrent form▸ 1L skid

60% ◂Finish rate33%

2.27Strikes / min▸ 3.51

2.08 ◂Takedowns / 150.42

—Reach66"

—Height5'6"

—StanceSouthpaw

FAQ

Who is favoured in Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes?

MMARANK's model gives Karine Silva a 65% win probability and Gabriella Fernandes 35%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes?

Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes is booked for UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady on Saturday, 7 November 2026 (Women's Flyweight).

What are Karine Silva's and Gabriella Fernandes's records?

Karine Silva is 5-3 in the UFC (19-7 as a pro); Gabriella Fernandes is 3-3 in the UFC.

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