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Julian Erosa vs Lee Jeong-yeong prediction

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Featherweight

Julian ErosaJulian Erosa
Featherweight #31
61%
win probability
vs
Lee Jeong-yeongLee Jeong-yeong
Featherweight #54
39%
win probability

Method lean: Submission · 51% finish chance

Preview

Julian Erosa goes in as the model's pick: 61% to Lee Jeong-yeong's 39%.

Julian Erosa is our #31 Featherweight; Lee Jeong-yeong is #54.

Julian Erosa is 3-2 over the last 5 UFC fights, Lee Jeong-yeong 2-2 over 4 fights.

The model projects a submission, giving a 51% chance of a finish — Julian Erosa stops 75% of opponents they beat, Lee Jeong-yeong 0%.

Records side by side

Julian ErosaLee Jeong-yeong
8-9UFC record2-2
2 / 4 / 2Wins KO / SUB / DEC0 / 0 / 1
#31 FeatherweightMMARANK ranking#54 Featherweight
6' 1"Height5' 10"
74.5"Reach73.5"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Julian Erosa3-2 last 5
LLerryan DouglasKO · 29 Mar 26
LMelquizael CostaDecision 28-29|28-29|28-29 · 17 May 25
WDarren ElkinsKO · 13 Apr 25
WChristian RodriguezSUB · 13 Jul 24
WRicardo RamosSUB · 23 Mar 24
Lee Jeong-yeong2-2 last 4
LDaniel SantosDecision 30-27|30-27|30-27 · 10 May 25
LHyder AmilKO · 20 Jul 24
WBlake BilderDecision 30-27, 30-27, 30-27 · 3 Feb 24
WYi Zha— · 5 Feb 23

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 7 — 1
58.7 ◂MMARANK rating31.7
#234 ◂P4P rank#465
8-9UFC record▸ 2-2
2L skidCurrent form2L skid
75% ◂Finish rate0%
6.06 ◂Strikes / min3.17
1.81 ◂Takedowns / 150.65
74.5" ◂Reach73.5"
6'1" ◂Height5'10"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who is favoured in Julian Erosa vs Lee Jeong-yeong?

MMARANK's model gives Julian Erosa a 61% win probability and Lee Jeong-yeong 39%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Julian Erosa vs Lee Jeong-yeong?

Julian Erosa vs Lee Jeong-yeong is booked for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on Saturday, 31 October 2026 (Featherweight).

What are Julian Erosa's and Lee Jeong-yeong's records?

Julian Erosa is 8-9 in the UFC; Lee Jeong-yeong is 2-2 in the UFC.

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