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Head to Head · Result

Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai result

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Saturday, 15 August 2026 · Welterweight

Result · provisional

Jeremiah Wells def. Myktybek Orolbai

SUB (ninja choke) · R3 1:24

Model’s pre-fight pick: Myktybek Orolbai 60% — ✗ upset

Ranking impact

Jeremiah Wellsrating 1847 → 1936 (+89) · now #18
Myktybek Orolbairating 1996 → 1913 (-83) · now #22

The model’s pre-fight numbers

Jeremiah WellsJeremiah Wells
Welterweight #18
40%
win probability
vs
Myktybek OrolbaiMyktybek Orolbai
Welterweight #22
60%
win probability

Method lean: Submission · 75% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

Our ratings gave Myktybek Orolbai the edge here — a 60% win probability, leaving Jeremiah Wells at 40%.

In MMARANK's Welterweight ratings Jeremiah Wells sits #18 and Myktybek Orolbai #22.

Myktybek Orolbai arrived on a 3-fight winning streak; Jeremiah Wells is 3-2 in the last 5.

Jeremiah Wells has finished 60% of UFC wins (2 KO, 1 submission) against 60% for Myktybek Orolbai, and the model's method lean was a submission (75% chance it ends inside the distance).

Records side by side

Jeremiah WellsMyktybek Orolbai
5-2UFC record (going in)5-1
2 / 1 / 1Wins KO / SUB / DEC1 / 2 / 2
#18 WelterweightMMARANK ranking#22 Welterweight
—Height5' 10"
—Reach74"
—StanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Jeremiah Wells3-2 last 5
WThemba GorimboDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 2 Nov 25
LMax Griffin— · 10 Feb 24
LCarlston HarrisSUB · 5 Aug 23
WMatthew Semelsberger— · 22 Apr 23
WCourt McGeeKO · 18 Jun 22
Myktybek Orolbai4-1 last 5
WChris CurtisDecision 27-30|27-30|27-30 · 15 Mar 26
WJack HermanssonKO · 22 Nov 25
WTofiq MusayevSUB · 21 Jun 25
LMateusz Rebecki— · 26 Oct 24
WElves BrenerDecision 27-29, 27-29, 27-29 · 4 May 24

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 2 — 4
77.3 ◂MMARANK rating72.2
#93 ◂P4P rank#120
5-2UFC record▸ 5-1
1W streakCurrent form▸ 3W streak
60%Finish rate60%
2.35Strikes / min▸ 2.78
3.06Takedowns / 15▸ 8.77
—Reach74"
—Height5'10"
—StanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who won Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai?

Jeremiah Wells beat Myktybek Orolbai by submission (ninja choke) at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry on Saturday, 15 August 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

No — before the fight the model gave Myktybek Orolbai a 60% win probability against Jeremiah Wells.

What are Jeremiah Wells's and Myktybek Orolbai's records?

Jeremiah Wells went in 5-2 in the UFC; Myktybek Orolbai went in 5-1 in the UFC.

Full UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry card →·Fight simulator →