Head to Head · Result

Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry result

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Saturday, 15 August 2026 · Welterweight★ Main event

Result · provisional

Islam Makhachev def. Ian Machado Garry

Decision 49-46, 49-46, 48-47

Model’s pre-fight pick: Islam Makhachev 58% — ✓ correct

Ranking impact

Islam Makhachevrating 2327 → 2349 (+22) · now #1

Ian Machado Garryrating 2152 → 2128 (-24) · now #8

The model’s pre-fight numbers

Islam Makhachev

Welterweight #1

58%

win probability

Ian Machado Garry

Welterweight #8

42%

win probability

Method lean: Submission · 56% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

Our ratings gave Makhachev the edge here — a 58% win probability, leaving Garry at 42%.

Makhachev is our #1 Welterweight; Garry is #8.

Makhachev is 5-0 over the last 5 UFC fights, Garry 4-1 over 5 fights.

The model projected a submission, giving a 56% chance of a finish — Makhachev stops 65% of opponents they beat, Garry 30%.

Garry had a 4-inch reach advantage.

Records side by side

MakhachevGarry

17-1UFC record (going in)10-1

3 / 8 / 6Wins KO / SUB / DEC3 / 0 / 6

#1 WelterweightMMARANK ranking#8 Welterweight

5' 10"Height6' 3"

70.5"Reach74.5"

SouthpawStanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Islam Makhachev5-0 last 5

WJack Della MaddalenaDecision 45-50|45-50|45-50 · 16 Nov 25

WRenato MoicanoSUB · 19 Jan 25

WDustin PoirierSUB · 1 Jun 24

WAlexander VolkanovskiKO · 21 Oct 23

WAlexander VolkanovskiDecision 48-47, 48-47, 49-46 · 12 Feb 23

Ian Machado Garry4-1 last 5

WBelal MuhammadDecision 27-30|27-30|28-29 · 22 Nov 25

WCarlos PratesDecision 48-47|48-47|49-46 · 27 Apr 25

LShavkat RakhmonovDecision 48-47|48-47|48-47 · 7 Dec 24

WMichael PageDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 29 Jun 24

WGeoff Neal— · 17 Feb 24

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 6 — 3

98.1 ◂MMARANK rating86.1

#1 ◂P4P rank#38

17-1 ◂UFC record10-1

16W streak ◂Current form2W streak

65% ◂Finish rate30%

2.49Strikes / min▸ 4.78

3.15 ◂Takedowns / 150.92

70.5"Reach▸ 74.5"

5'10"Height▸ 6'3"

SouthpawStanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who won Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry?

Islam Makhachev beat Ian Machado Garry by decision at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry on Saturday, 15 August 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

Yes — before the fight the model gave Islam Makhachev a 58% win probability against Ian Machado Garry.

What are Islam Makhachev's and Ian Machado Garry's records?

Islam Makhachev went in 17-1 in the UFC; Ian Machado Garry went in 10-1 in the UFC.

Full UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry card →·Fight simulator →