← UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Head to Head · Result

Gregory Rodrigues vs Anthony Hernandez result

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, 22 August 2026 · Middleweight★ Main event

Result · provisional

Gregory Rodrigues def. Anthony Hernandez

Decision 48-47, 49-46, 48-47

Model’s pre-fight pick: Anthony Hernandez 54% — ✗ upset

Ranking impact

Gregory Rodriguesrating 1936 → 1977 (+41) · now #8
Anthony Hernandezrating 1972 → 1927 (-45) · now #12

The model’s pre-fight numbers

Gregory RodriguesGregory Rodrigues
Middleweight #8
46%
win probability
vs
Anthony HernandezAnthony Hernandez
Middleweight #12
54%
win probability

Method lean: Submission · 95% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

MMARANK's model rates Gregory Rodrigues vs Anthony Hernandez close to a coin flip, with Hernandez a narrow 54% to Rodrigues's 46%.

Rodrigues is our #8 Middleweight; Hernandez is #12.

Rodrigues is 4-1 over the last 5 UFC fights, Hernandez 4-1 over 5 fights.

The model projected a submission, giving a 95% chance of a finish — Hernandez stops 78% of opponents they beat, Rodrigues 70%.

They share 2 common opponents, among them Roman Kopylov, who Rodrigues beat and Hernandez beat.

Records side by side

RodriguesHernandez
10-3UFC record (going in)9-3
7 / 0 / 3Wins KO / SUB / DEC2 / 5 / 2
#8 MiddleweightMMARANK ranking#12 Middleweight
6' 3"Height6' 0"
75"Reach75"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Gregory Rodrigues4-1 last 5
WBrunno FerreiraKO · 7 Mar 26
WRoman KopylovDecision 27-30|27-30|28-29 · 16 Nov 25
WJack HermanssonKO · 29 Jun 25
LJared CannonierKO · 16 Feb 25
WChristian Leroy DuncanDecision 27-30|27-30|27-30 · 27 Jul 24
Anthony Hernandez4-1 last 5
LSean StricklandKO · 22 Feb 26
WRoman DolidzeSUB · 10 Aug 25
WBrendan AllenDecision 28-29|28-29|28-29 · 23 Feb 25
WMichel PereiraKO · 19 Oct 24
WRoman KopylovSUB · 17 Feb 24

Common opponents · 2

W (Decision 27-30|27-30|28-29)Roman KopylovW (SUB (Rear Naked Choke))
W (KO)JunYong ParkW (SUB)

Tale of the tape

edges 6 — 2
86.2 ◂MMARANK rating78.7
#37 ◂P4P rank#79
10-3 ◂UFC record9-3
3W streak ◂Current form1L skid
70%Finish rate▸ 78%
5.61 ◂Strikes / min4.52
1.96Takedowns / 15▸ 5.91
75"Reach75"
6'3" ◂Height6'0"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who won Gregory Rodrigues vs Anthony Hernandez?

Gregory Rodrigues beat Anthony Hernandez by decision at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues on Saturday, 22 August 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

No — before the fight the model gave Anthony Hernandez a 54% win probability against Gregory Rodrigues.

What are Gregory Rodrigues's and Anthony Hernandez's records?

Gregory Rodrigues went in 10-3 in the UFC; Anthony Hernandez went in 9-3 in the UFC.

Full UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues card →·Fight simulator →