Head to Head · Prediction
Francis Marshall vs Gastón Bolaños prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Featherweight
Method lean: Decision · 44% finish chance
Preview
MMARANK's model rates Francis Marshall vs Gastón Bolaños close to a coin flip, with Francis Marshall a narrow 51% to Gastón Bolaños's 49%.
Francis Marshall carries the higher pre-fight rating, 1546 to 1510.
Francis Marshall arrives on a 2-fight winning streak; Gastón Bolaños is 3-2 in the last 5.
Francis Marshall has finished 50% of UFC wins (1 KO, 1 submission) against 0% for Gastón Bolaños, and the model's method lean is a decision (44% chance it ends inside the distance).
Records side by side
Recent form · last 5
Common opponents · 0
No shared opponents in the data.
Tale of the tape
edges 5 — 2FAQ
Who is favoured in Francis Marshall vs Gastón Bolaños?
MMARANK's model gives Francis Marshall a 51% win probability and Gastón Bolaños 49%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.
When is Francis Marshall vs Gastón Bolaños?
Francis Marshall vs Gastón Bolaños is booked for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on Saturday, 31 October 2026 (Featherweight).
What are Francis Marshall's and Gastón Bolaños's records?
Francis Marshall is 4-3 in the UFC; Gastón Bolaños is 3-2 in the UFC.
Full UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan card →·Fight simulator →