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Head to Head · Prediction

Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro prediction

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Light Heavyweight

Felipe FrancoFelipe Franco
Unranked
62%
win probability
vs
Brendson RibeiroBrendson Ribeiro
Light Heavyweight #41
38%
win probability

Method lean: Decision · 38% finish chance

Preview

MMARANK's model makes Felipe Franco the favourite, with a 62% win probability against Brendson Ribeiro.

Felipe Franco carries the higher pre-fight rating, 1567 to 1333.

Felipe Franco is 1-1 over the last 2 UFC fights, Brendson Ribeiro 1-4 over 5 fights.

The model projects a decision, giving a 38% chance of a finish — Brendson Ribeiro stops 50% of opponents they beat, Felipe Franco 0%.

Records side by side

Felipe FrancoBrendson Ribeiro
1-1UFC record2-6
0 / 0 / 0Wins KO / SUB / DEC0 / 1 / 0
—MMARANK ranking#41 Light Heavyweight
—Height6' 3"
—Reach81"
—StanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Felipe Franco1-1 last 2
WLevi Rodrigues Jr.— · 18 Jul 26
LMario PintoDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 21 Mar 26
Brendson Ribeiro1-4 last 5
LMagomed TuchalovDecision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28 · 25 Jul 26
LAbdul-Rakhman YakhyaevSUB · 5 Apr 26
LOumar SyKO · 6 Sept 25
LAzamat MurzakanovKO · 8 Jun 25
WDiyar NurgozhaySUB · 15 Mar 25

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 2 — 1
—MMARANK rating18.3
—P4P rank#607
1-1 ◂UFC record2-6
1W streak ◂Current form4L skid
0%Finish rate▸ 50%
—Strikes / min2.63
—Takedowns / 150.92
—Reach81"
—Height6'3"
—StanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who is favoured in Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro?

MMARANK's model gives Felipe Franco a 62% win probability and Brendson Ribeiro 38%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro?

Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro is booked for UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on Saturday, 10 October 2026 (Light Heavyweight).

What are Felipe Franco's and Brendson Ribeiro's records?

Felipe Franco is 1-1 in the UFC; Brendson Ribeiro is 2-6 in the UFC.

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