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Head to Head · Prediction

Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith prediction

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Bantamweight

Davey GrantDavey Grant
Bantamweight #31
39%
win probability
vs
Elijah SmithElijah Smith
Bantamweight #44
61%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 65% finish chance

Preview

Elijah Smith goes in as the model's pick: 61% to Davey Grant's 39%.

Davey Grant is our #31 Bantamweight; Elijah Smith is #44.

Davey Grant is 3-2 over the last 5 UFC fights, Elijah Smith 3-0 over 3 fights.

The model projects a KO/TKO, giving a 65% chance of a finish — Elijah Smith stops 67% of opponents they beat, Davey Grant 44%.

Records side by side

Davey GrantElijah Smith
9-7UFC record3-0
3 / 1 / 5Wins KO / SUB / DEC1 / 1 / 1
#31 BantamweightMMARANK ranking#44 Bantamweight
—Height5' 9"
—Reach71"
—StanceOrthodox

Recent form · last 5

Davey Grant3-2 last 5
WAdrian Luna MartinettiDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 26 Apr 26
LCharles JourdainSUB · 18 Oct 25
WDa'Mon BlackshearDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 26 Jul 25
WRamon TaverasDecision 29-28|30-27|30-27 · 14 Dec 24
LDaniel Marcos— · 22 Jul 23
Elijah Smith3-0 last 3
WSuYoung YouSUB · 14 Mar 26
WToshiomi KazamaKO · 9 Aug 25
WVince MoralesDecision 28-29|28-29|28-29 · 15 Feb 25

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 3 — 4
57.7 ◂MMARANK rating42.2
#243 ◂P4P rank#360
9-7UFC record▸ 3-0
1W streakCurrent form▸ 3W streak
44%Finish rate▸ 67%
5.58 ◂Strikes / min3.69
0.95Takedowns / 15▸ 1.78
—Reach71"
—Height5'9"
—StanceOrthodox

FAQ

Who is favoured in Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith?

MMARANK's model gives Elijah Smith a 61% win probability and Davey Grant 39%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.

When is Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith?

Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith is booked for UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady on Saturday, 7 November 2026 (Bantamweight).

What are Davey Grant's and Elijah Smith's records?

Davey Grant is 9-7 in the UFC; Elijah Smith is 3-0 in the UFC.

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