← UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Head to Head · Result

Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast result

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, 22 August 2026 · Lightweight

Result · provisional

Chris Padilla def. Nasrat Haqparast

SUB (arm-triangle choke) · R3 4:59

Model’s pre-fight pick: Chris Padilla 59% — ✓ correct

Ranking impact

Chris Padillarating 1853 → 1917 (+64) · now #36
Nasrat Haqparastrating 1808 → 1775 (-33) · now #33

The model’s pre-fight numbers

Chris PadillaChris Padilla
Lightweight #36
59%
win probability
vs
Nasrat HaqparastNasrat Haqparast
Lightweight #33
41%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 75% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

Our ratings gave Chris Padilla the edge here — a 59% win probability, leaving Nasrat Haqparast at 41%.

In MMARANK's Lightweight ratings Chris Padilla sits #36 and Nasrat Haqparast #33.

Recent form: Chris Padilla 4-0 and Nasrat Haqparast 4-1 across their last 5 UFC outings.

Chris Padilla has finished 50% of UFC wins (1 KO, 1 submission) against 20% for Nasrat Haqparast, and the model's method lean was a KO/TKO (75% chance it ends inside the distance).

Chris Padilla had a 2-inch reach advantage.

Records side by side

Chris PadillaNasrat Haqparast
4-0-1UFC record (going in)10-5
1 / 1 / 0Wins KO / SUB / DEC2 / 0 / 6
#36 LightweightMMARANK ranking#33 Lightweight
5' 9"Height5' 10"
74"Reach72"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw

Recent form · last 5

Chris Padilla4-0-1 last 5
DMarQuel Mederos— · 11 Apr 26
WIsmael BonfimKO · 9 Nov 25
WJai Herbert— · 22 Mar 25
WRongzhu— · 7 Sept 24
WJames LlontopSUB · 27 Apr 24
Nasrat Haqparast4-1 last 5
LQuillan SalkilldKO · 25 Oct 25
WEsteban Ribovics— · 2 Mar 25
WJared Gordon— · 22 Jun 24
WJamie MullarkeyKO · 10 Dec 23
WLandon QuiñonesDecision 30-27, 30-27, 30-27 · 10 Sept 23

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 4 — 4
54.6MMARANK rating▸ 57.6
#262P4P rank▸ #245
4-0 ◂UFC record10-5
—Current form1L skid
50% ◂Finish rate20%
6.19Strikes / min▸ 6.36
1.13 ◂Takedowns / 150.34
74" ◂Reach72"
5'9"Height▸ 5'10"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw

FAQ

Who won Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast?

Chris Padilla beat Nasrat Haqparast by submission (arm-triangle choke) at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues on Saturday, 22 August 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

Yes — before the fight the model gave Chris Padilla a 59% win probability against Nasrat Haqparast.

What are Chris Padilla's and Nasrat Haqparast's records?

Chris Padilla went in 4-0-1 in the UFC; Nasrat Haqparast went in 10-5 in the UFC.

Full UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues card →·Fight simulator →