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Head to Head · Result

Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Álvarez result

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Saturday, 15 August 2026 · Welterweight

Result · provisional

Chidi Njokuani def. Joel Álvarez

Decision 30-27, 30-27, 29-28

Model’s pre-fight pick: Joel Álvarez 71% — ✗ upset

Ranking impact

Chidi Njokuanirating 1571 → 1666 (+95) · now #44
Joel Álvarezrating 1961 → 1880 (-81) · now #28

The model’s pre-fight numbers

Chidi NjokuaniChidi Njokuani
Welterweight #44
29%
win probability
vs
Joel ÁlvarezJoel Álvarez
Welterweight #28
71%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 95% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

MMARANK's model made Joel Álvarez the favourite, with a 71% win probability against Chidi Njokuani.

Chidi Njokuani is our #44 Welterweight; Joel Álvarez is #28.

Chidi Njokuani is 3-2 over the last 5 UFC fights, Joel Álvarez 4-1 over 5 fights.

The model projected a KO/TKO, giving a 95% chance of a finish — Joel Álvarez stops 88% of opponents they beat, Chidi Njokuani 50%.

Records side by side

Chidi NjokuaniJoel Álvarez
4-5UFC record (going in)8-3
2 / 0 / 1Wins KO / SUB / DEC4 / 3 / 1
#44 WelterweightMMARANK ranking#28 Welterweight
6' 3"Height—
80"Reach—
OrthodoxStance—

Recent form · last 5

Chidi Njokuani3-2 last 5
LCarlos LealDecision 27-30|28-29|28-29 · 22 Feb 26
LJake MatthewsSUB · 13 Jul 25
WJared GoodenDecision 30-27|30-27|30-27 · 12 Oct 24
WRhys McKee— · 30 Mar 24
Joel Álvarez4-1 last 5
LYaroslav AmosovSUB · 10 May 26
WVicente LuqueDecision 26-30|26-30|26-30 · 12 Oct 25
WDrakkar KloseKO · 14 Dec 24
WElves BrenerKO · 3 Aug 24
WMarc DiakieseSUB · 22 Jul 23

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 1 — 6
59.5MMARANK rating▸ 68.8
#229P4P rank▸ #152
4-5UFC record▸ 8-3
2L skidCurrent form▸ 1L skid
50%Finish rate▸ 88%
5.67 ◂Strikes / min4.53
0Takedowns / 15▸ 0.18
80"Reach—
6'3"Height—
OrthodoxStance—

FAQ

Who won Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Álvarez?

Chidi Njokuani beat Joel Álvarez by decision at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry on Saturday, 15 August 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

No — before the fight the model gave Joel Álvarez a 71% win probability against Chidi Njokuani.

What are Chidi Njokuani's and Joel Álvarez's records?

Chidi Njokuani went in 4-5 in the UFC; Joel Álvarez went in 8-3 in the UFC.

Full UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry card →·Fight simulator →