Head to Head · Prediction
Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando prediction
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Light Heavyweight
Method lean: Submission · 95% finish chance
Preview
There is little to separate them on our numbers: Billy Elekana 52%, Lucas Fernando 48%.
Billy Elekana carries the higher pre-fight rating, 1707 to 1578.
Billy Elekana arrives on a 3-fight winning streak; Lucas Fernando is 1-0 in the last 1.
Lucas Fernando has finished 100% of UFC wins (1 KO, 0 submission) against 67% for Billy Elekana, and the model's method lean is a submission (95% chance it ends inside the distance).
Records side by side
Recent form · last 5
Common opponents · 0
No shared opponents in the data.
Tale of the tape
edges 1 — 2FAQ
Who is favoured in Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando?
MMARANK's model gives Billy Elekana a 52% win probability and Lucas Fernando 48%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.
When is Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando?
Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando is booked for UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady on Saturday, 7 November 2026 (Light Heavyweight).
What are Billy Elekana's and Lucas Fernando's records?
Billy Elekana is 3-1 in the UFC; Lucas Fernando is 1-0 in the UFC.
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