Head to Head · Prediction
Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes prediction
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Light Heavyweight
Method lean: KO · 95% finish chance
Preview
There is little to separate them on our numbers: Dominick Reyes 52%, Azamat Murzakanov 48%.
In MMARANK's Light Heavyweight ratings Azamat Murzakanov sits #9 and Dominick Reyes #4.
Recent form: Azamat Murzakanov 4-1 and Dominick Reyes 4-1 across their last 5 UFC outings.
Azamat Murzakanov has finished 83% of UFC wins (5 KO, 0 submission) against 70% for Dominick Reyes, and the model's method lean is a KO/TKO (95% chance it ends inside the distance).
They share 1 common opponent: Dustin Jacoby, who Azamat Murzakanov beat and Dominick Reyes beat.
Records side by side
Recent form · last 5
Common opponents · 1
Tale of the tape
edges 3 — 6FAQ
Who is favoured in Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes?
MMARANK's model gives Dominick Reyes a 52% win probability and Azamat Murzakanov 48%. This is our own rating-based estimate, not bookmaker odds.
When is Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes?
Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes is booked for UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev on Saturday, 24 October 2026 (Light Heavyweight).
What are Azamat Murzakanov's and Dominick Reyes's records?
Azamat Murzakanov is 6-1 in the UFC (16-1 as a pro); Dominick Reyes is 10-5 in the UFC (16-5 as a pro).
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