← UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2

Head to Head · Result

Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski result

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · Saturday, 19 September 2026 · Light Heavyweight

Result · provisional

Alonzo Menifield def. Iwo Baraniewski

Decision 29-28, 29-28, 28-29

Model’s pre-fight pick: Iwo Baraniewski 52% — ✗ upset

Ranking impact

Alonzo Menifieldrating 1804 → 1829 (+25) · now #10
Iwo Baraniewskirating 1742 → 1662 (-80) · now #33

The model’s pre-fight numbers

Alonzo MenifieldAlonzo Menifield
Light Heavyweight #10
48%
win probability
vs
Iwo BaraniewskiIwo Baraniewski
Light Heavyweight #33
52%
win probability

Method lean: KO · 95% finish chance

Pre-fight preview

The model had this one tight — Iwo Baraniewski at 52% win probability against Alonzo Menifield at 48%.

Alonzo Menifield is our #10 Light Heavyweight; Iwo Baraniewski is #33.

Alonzo Menifield is 3-2 over the last 5 UFC fights, Iwo Baraniewski 3-0 over 3 fights.

The model projected a KO/TKO, giving a 95% chance of a finish — Iwo Baraniewski stops 100% of opponents they beat, Alonzo Menifield 64%.

Records side by side

Alonzo MenifieldIwo Baraniewski
11-6-1UFC record (going in)3-0
5 / 2 / 3Wins KO / SUB / DEC3 / 0 / 0
#10 Light HeavyweightMMARANK ranking#33 Light Heavyweight
6' 0"Height—
76"Reach—
OrthodoxStance—

Recent form · last 5

Alonzo Menifield3-2 last 5
WZhang MingyangKO · 30 May 26
LVolkan OezdemirKO · 22 Nov 25
WOumar SyDecision 29-28|29-28|29-28 · 15 Jun 25
WJulius Walker— · 23 Feb 25
LAzamat MurzakanovKO · 3 Aug 24
Iwo Baraniewski3-0 last 3
WJunior TafaKO · 7 Jun 26
WAusten LaneKO · 21 Mar 26
WIbo AslanKO · 6 Dec 25

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

Tale of the tape

edges 3 — 4
72 ◂MMARANK rating30.6
#126 ◂P4P rank#477
11-6UFC record▸ 3-0
1W streakCurrent form▸ 3W streak
64%Finish rate▸ 100%
3.93Strikes / min▸ 16.41
0.54 ◂Takedowns / 150
76"Reach—
6'0"Height—
OrthodoxStance—

FAQ

Who won Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski?

Alonzo Menifield beat Iwo Baraniewski by decision at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 on Saturday, 19 September 2026.

Did MMARANK's model pick the winner?

No — before the fight the model gave Iwo Baraniewski a 52% win probability against Alonzo Menifield.

What are Alonzo Menifield's and Iwo Baraniewski's records?

Alonzo Menifield went in 11-6-1 in the UFC; Iwo Baraniewski went in 3-0 in the UFC.

Full UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 card →·Fight simulator →