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Head to Head

Fight Predictor

Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.

Pick two fighters to see the model’s call.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 49%
KO/TKO 49%Decision 51%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3

Of finishes, ~54% go to Stoltzfus. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 4 — 5
33.5 ◂MMARANK rating25.2
#444 ◂P4P rank#555
4-7UFC record▸ 3-2
1W streak ◂Current form2L skid
75%Finish rate▸ 100%
3.28 ◂Strikes / min2.76
2.03Takedowns / 15▸ 2.05
75"Reach▸ 79.5"
6'0"Height▸ 6'2"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.