Head to Head
Fight Predictor
Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.
Pick two fighters to see the model’s call.
Simulate the fight
Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.
One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.
How it ends · 10,000 sims
inside the distance 29%KO/TKO 29%Decision 71%
If it ends early — most likely round
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3
Of finishes, ~56% go to Dern. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.
Tale of the tape
edges 5 — 379.1 ◂MMARANK rating41.2
#74 ◂P4P rank#366
12-5 ◂UFC record14-7
4W streak ◂Current form1L skid
42%Finish rate▸ 71%
3.71 ◂Strikes / min2.71
0.99Takedowns / 15▸ 2.76
63"Reach63"
5'4"Height▸ 5'5"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
Common opponents · 2
L (Decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28)Amanda LemosW (Decision 28-29|28-29|28-29)
L (Decision)Marina RodriguezW (KO (Punches))