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Head to Head

Fight Predictor

Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.

Alexander VolkanovskiMovsar Evloev

Out of 50 fights, the model gives Alexander Volkanovski ~26 and Movsar Evloev ~24.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 22%
KO/TKO 22%Decision 78%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3

Of finishes, ~51% go to Volkanovski. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 4 — 5
96 ◂MMARANK rating90.9
#4 ◂P4P rank#15
15-3UFC record▸ 10-0
2W streakCurrent form▸ 10W streak
33% ◂Finish rate0%
7.26 ◂Strikes / min3.91
1.98Takedowns / 15▸ 4.78
71.5"Reach▸ 72.5"
5'6"Height▸ 5'7"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Common opponents · 1

W (Decision 49-46|49-46|48-47)Diego LopesW (Decision 29-28, 29-28, 30-27)