Head to Head
Fight Predictor
Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.
Islam MakhachevIan Machado Garry
Out of 50 fights, the model gives Islam Makhachev ~32 and Ian Machado Garry ~18.
Simulate the fight
Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.
One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.
How it ends · 10,000 sims
inside the distance 45%KO/TKO 45%Decision 55%
If it ends early — most likely round
1
2
3
Of finishes, ~62% go to Makhachev. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.
Tale of the tape
edges 6 — 398.1 ◂MMARANK rating86.1
#1 ◂P4P rank#38
18-1 ◂UFC record10-2
17W streak ◂Current form1L skid
61% ◂Finish rate30%
2.49Strikes / min▸ 4.78
3.15 ◂Takedowns / 150.92
70.5"Reach▸ 74.5"
5'10"Height▸ 6'3"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
Common opponents · 0
No shared opponents in the data.