Head to Head
Fight Predictor
Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.
Pick two fighters to see the model’s call.
Simulate the fight
Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.
One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.
How it ends · 10,000 sims
inside the distance 34%KO/TKO 34%Decision 66%
If it ends early — most likely round
1
2
3
Of finishes, ~55% go to Nurgozhay. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.
Tale of the tape
edges 4 — 331.8MMARANK rating▸ 34.6
#462P4P rank▸ #425
2-2 ◂UFC record1-3
2W streak ◂Current form3L skid
50% ◂Finish rate0%
4.87 ◂Strikes / min2.47
1.86Takedowns / 15▸ 2.89
74"Reach74"
6'2"Height6'2"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
Common opponents · 0
No shared opponents in the data.