Head to Head
Fight Predictor
Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.
Pick two fighters to see the model’s call.
Simulate the fight
Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.
One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.
How it ends · 10,000 sims
inside the distance 43%KO/TKO 43%Decision 57%
If it ends early — most likely round
1
2
3
Of finishes, ~61% go to Padilla. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.
Tale of the tape
edges 5 — 454.6MMARANK rating▸ 57.6
#262P4P rank▸ #245
5-0 ◂UFC record10-6
1W streak ◂Current form2L skid
60% ◂Finish rate20%
6.19Strikes / min▸ 6.36
1.13 ◂Takedowns / 150.34
74" ◂Reach72"
5'9"Height▸ 5'10"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
Common opponents · 0
No shared opponents in the data.