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Head to Head

Fight Predictor

Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.

Pick two fighters to see the model’s call.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 18%
KO/TKO 18%Decision 82%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3

Of finishes, ~61% go to Mederos. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 2 — 5
43.5MMARANK rating▸ 45.3
#347P4P rank▸ #332
4-0 ◂UFC record4-3
1W streak ◂Current form1L skid
25%Finish rate25%
5.43Strikes / min▸ 5.98
0.25Takedowns / 15▸ 3.48
69"Reach▸ 74"
5'10"Height5'10"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.