Head to Head
Fight Predictor
Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.
Pick two fighters to see the model’s call.
Simulate the fight
Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.
One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.
How it ends · 10,000 sims
inside the distance 16%KO/TKO 16%Decision 84%
If it ends early — most likely round
1
2
3
Of finishes, ~54% go to Alencar. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.
Tale of the tape
edges 4 — 254.5 ◂MMARANK rating45.7
#265 ◂P4P rank#326
4-1 ◂UFC record5-2
3W streakCurrent form3W streak
25% ◂Finish rate0%
3.24Strikes / min▸ 5.05
2.82Takedowns / 15▸ 5.02
—Reach63.5"
—Height5'3"
—StanceOrthodox
Common opponents · 1
W (SUB (Rear Naked Choke))Ariane CarnelossiL