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Head to Head

Fight Predictor

Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.

Pick two fighters to see the model’s call.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 50%
KO/TKO 50%Decision 50%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3

Of finishes, ~64% go to Tsuruya. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 3
31.8MMARANK rating▸ 49.6
#461P4P rank▸ #299
3-1 ◂UFC record2-5
2W streak ◂Current form1L skid
67% ◂Finish rate0%
1.63Strikes / min▸ 3.51
3.5 ◂Takedowns / 150
68"Reach68"
5'6" ◂Height5'5"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Common opponents · 1

L (Decision 30-27|30-27|30-27)Joshua VanL (Decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28)