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Head to Head

Fight Predictor

Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.

Joshua VanJoshua Van
89.6 ± 3
56%
Alexandre PantojaAlexandre Pantoja
76.4 ± 3
44%
Joshua VanAlexandre Pantoja

Out of 50 fights, the model gives Joshua Van ~28 and Alexandre Pantoja ~22.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 25%
KO/TKO 25%Decision 75%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3

Of finishes, ~54% go to Van. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 2
89.6 ◂MMARANK rating76.4
#21 ◂P4P rank#96
11-1 ◂UFC record14-5
8W streak ◂Current form2L skid
36%Finish rate▸ 57%
8.43 ◂Strikes / min5.71
0.82Takedowns / 15▸ 3.64
—Reach67.5"
—Height5'5"
—StanceOrthodox

Common opponents · 2

W (Decision 28-29|28-29|27-30)Brandon RoyvalW (Decision 50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
W (Decision 28-29|28-29|27-30)Brandon RoyvalW (SUB)