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Head to Head

Fight Predictor

Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.

Denise GomesDenise Gomes
73 ± 3
51%
Yan XiaonanYan Xiaonan
57.8 ± 3
49%
Denise GomesYan Xiaonan

Out of 50 fights, the model gives Denise Gomes ~26 and Yan Xiaonan ~24.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 38%
KO/TKO 38%Decision 62%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3

Of finishes, ~51% go to Gomes. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 6 — 2
73 ◂MMARANK rating57.8
#114 ◂P4P rank#240
7-2 ◂UFC record9-5
5W streak ◂Current form2L skid
57% ◂Finish rate11%
4.02Strikes / min▸ 4.69
1.69 ◂Takedowns / 150.84
63"Reach63"
5'2"Height▸ 5'5"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Common opponents · 2

W (Decision 27-30|27-30|28-29)Karolina KowalkiewiczW (Decision)
L (Decision 30-27, 29-28, 29-28)Angela HillW (Decision)