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Head to Head

Fight Predictor

Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.

Ailín PérezAilín Pérez
69.8 ± 3
53%
Norma DumontNorma Dumont
71 ± 3
47%
Ailín PérezNorma Dumont

Out of 50 fights, the model gives Ailín Pérez ~27 and Norma Dumont ~23.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 9%
KO/TKO 9%Decision 91%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3

Of finishes, ~51% go to Perez. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 4 — 3
69.8MMARANK rating▸ 71
#142P4P rank▸ #134
7-1 ◂UFC record9-4
7W streak ◂Current form2L skid
14% ◂Finish rate0%
2.88Strikes / min▸ 3.85
4.9 ◂Takedowns / 151.43
66"Reach—
5'5"Height—
SwitchStance—

Common opponents · 4

W (Decision 30-27|29-28|29-28)Joselyne EdwardsL (Decision 28-29|28-29|27-30)
W (Decision 28-29|28-29|27-30)Karol RosaW (Decision 28-29, 28-29, 28-29)
W (Decision 29-28|29-28|29-28)Macy ChiassonL
W (Decision 25-30, 25-30, 26-30)Ashlee Evans-SmithW (Decision)